There’s a snake in Supergirl‘s boot and that’s Disney/Pixar’s second weekend of Toy Story 5.
The $170M DC Studios feature, the second production under the James Gunn and Peter Safran run Warner Bros’ comic book division after last summer’s Superman ($125M domestic opening), is expected to open in the upper $40Ms at 3,600 theaters stateside per pre-sales, though tracking has had it of late in the $50M+ vicinity.
That start would be around such previous regime DC green lights as The Flash ($55M U.S., which was tormented by tabloid reports of its star Ezra Miller long before opening), though above such lackluster titles as Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom ($27.4M U.S. opening) and Shazam: Fury of the Gods ($30.1M U.S.). Overseas estimates for the Craig Gillespie directed feature take of Tom King and Bilquis Evely’s graphic novel Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow, are low $40Ms, we hear from sources; the pic opening everywhere except for Belgium and France. Hence, the global opening range is between $80M-$90M+. Previews in North America start at 3PM Thursday. No critical Rotten Tomatoes score yet.
First choice is best with women under 25, but low for all audiences, half that of Thunderbolts*, Star Wars: Mandalorian and Grogu and Wonder Woman.
Toy Story 5, meanwhile, passed $200M at the domestic B.O. yesterday. The Andrew Stanton directed fifthquel is eyeing a second frame in North America between $88M-$96M, -40% to -45% after posting the best domestic opening of the year ($159.6M 3-day), the best Monday year to date with $17.3M, and a massive $23.7M Tuesday. Disney/Pixar’s 2024 summer hit Inside Out 2 went on to post the best second weekend for an animated film at $101.2M, -34% after opening to $154.2M at the domestic B.O.
Paramount has Jackass: Best and Last which was a last minute add to the summer schedule, though evidence of CEO David Ellison’s commitment to provide movies for theaters. Booked at 2,800 theaters, the Jeff Tremaine directed reality prank comedy is eyeing around $10M in North America, and another $3M from offshore launches in 19 markets including Germany, Italy, Mexico, Spain, and the United Kingdom (Hence, $13M WW debut all-in). Previews begin Thursday at 2PM, but there’s a special fan event at 7PM. The final Jackass film stars Johnny Knoxville, Steve-O, Chris Pontius, Wee Man (Jason Acuña), Dave England, Danger Ehren (Ehren McGhehey), Preston Lacy, Rachel Wolfson, Jasper, Dark Shark (Compston Wilson), Poopies (Sean McInerney) and Zach Holmes. The last Jackass movie, Jackass Forever, opened to a strong $23.1M domestic back in 2022, arriving in cinemas 12 years after the previous installment, 2010’s Jackass 3D, which owns the franchise opening record at $50.3M. Jackass Forever ended its run at $57.7M in U.S./Canada, $80.5M WW, also off a thrifty $10M production cost before $10M. The four core Jackass movies combined have minted more than $416M around the world.
